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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

UPS / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19209
Paper trade

UPS

United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Composite verdict

F 25.2 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 16 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • Elder Force Index
  • ADX DI Cross
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 3rd of 7 in Integrated Freight & Logistics

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 19 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 2Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -68%
Asset value $21.65Earnings power value $67.20Price $93.89

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($67.20/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

50.4 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Inventory Turnover 100
PEGY 0
Total Shareholder Yield 90
Margin of Safety 0
Dividend Yield 80
OCF to Net Income 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Rate of Change, Elder Force Index, ADX DI Cross); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 10
Elder Force Index 14
Parabolic SAR Flip 15

Risk Gates

4 blocking 7 caution

4 guards active, 24 signals gated.

LT Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High long-term D/E blocks bullish signals — structural-leverage risk.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for UPS.