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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

ACGL / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19173
Paper trade

ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other specialty products. The Mortgage segment offers U.S. primary mortgage insurance business written predominantly on loans sold to the Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation; reinsurance and underwriting services related to the U.S. credit-risk transfer business and other U.S. mortgage reinsurance transactions; and international mortgage insurance and reinsurance business covering loans. It markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. The company was formerly known as Risk Capital Holdings, Inc. Arch Capital Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Composite verdict

D 39.0 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 14 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • Vortex Signal
  • Sushi Roll
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 1st of 4 in Insurance - Diversified

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 17 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 2Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -23%
Asset value $70.94Earnings power value $136.48Price $94.26

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($94.26) sits between asset value ($70.94) and no-growth earnings power value ($136.48).

Fundamentals Strong

78.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Earnings Yield 100
Asset Turnover 0
FCF Margin 100
Days Sales Outstanding 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
EPS Growth (YoY) 15

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Rate of Change, Vortex Signal, Sushi Roll); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 11
Vortex Signal 12
Elder Force Index 13

Risk Gates

4 blocking 1 caution

4 guards active, 24 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for ACGL.