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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

VST / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19148
Paper trade

VST

Vistra Corp.

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

Composite verdict

F 4.6 / 100
Bearish setup · Reversal 13 drivers · 7 gates blocking
  • Parabolic SAR Flip
  • Vortex Signal
  • Double 7s
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 3rd of 4 in Utilities - Independent Power Producers

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 21 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 6Mean-reversion Neutral 45

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -80%
Asset value $15.19Earnings power value $8.18Price $139.12

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($8.18/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Weak

9.2 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Inventory Turnover 100
P/E (TTM) 0
Payout Ratio 82
P/B 0
EBITDA Margin 76
Margin of Safety 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Parabolic SAR Flip, Vortex Signal, Double 7s); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Parabolic SAR Flip 8
Vortex Signal 11
Double 7s 14

Risk Gates

7 blocking 7 caution

7 guards active, 19 signals gated.

Altman Z-Score Blocking

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High debt-to-equity blocks bullish signals — leverage risk.

LT Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High long-term D/E blocks bullish signals — structural-leverage risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for VST.