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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

VLO / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19147
Paper trade

VLO

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

Composite verdict

C 53.8 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 17 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • 52-Week Proximity
  • Parabolic SAR Flip
Consider long call target Δ ~0.50 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade C → ITM call target

Industry rank 3rd of 4 in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 21 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 99Mean-reversion Neutral 50
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 164 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -64%
Asset value $82.40Earnings power value $74.45Price $406.18

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($74.45/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Weak

7.6 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Inventory Turnover 100
P/E (TTM) 0
Asset Turnover 100
Margin of Safety 0
Capex to Sales 93
Greenblatt EY 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Rate of Change, 52-Week Proximity, Parabolic SAR Flip); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
52-Week Proximity 90
Rate of Change 89
Parabolic SAR Flip 87

Risk Gates

3 blocking 3 caution

3 guards active, 20 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Interest Coverage Caution

Weak interest coverage blocks bullish signals — debt-service risk.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for VLO.