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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

STZ / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19141
Paper trade

STZ

Constellation Brands, Inc.

Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson's Green Brier brand names. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

Composite verdict

D 35.6 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 15 drivers · 5 gates blocking
  • Vortex Signal
  • Parabolic SAR Flip
  • Aroon Oscillator
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 1st of 3 in Beverages - Brewers

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 20 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 2Mean-reversion Neutral 50
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 87 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -45%
Asset value $47.33Earnings power value $71.14Price $112.79

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($71.14/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Strong

71.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Margin of Safety 0
EBITDA Margin 98
OCF to Net Income 0
FCF Margin 98
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Vortex Signal, Parabolic SAR Flip, Aroon Oscillator); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Vortex Signal 11
Parabolic SAR Flip 12
Rate of Change 13

Risk Gates

5 blocking 9 caution

5 guards active, 22 signals gated.

LT Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High long-term D/E blocks bullish signals — structural-leverage risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for STZ.