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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

ADP / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19122
Paper trade

ADP

Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). The Employer Services segment offers strategic, cloud-based platforms, and human resources (HR) outsourcing solutions. This segment's offerings include RUN Powered by ADP, a software platform for small business payroll, HR, and compliance; ADP Workforce Now, a HCM solution used across mid-sized and large businesses to manage employees; and ADP Lyric HCM, a solution for HR management, payroll, workforce management, talent, and data analytics. Its PEO Services segment provides HR outsourcing solutions under ADP TotalSource name to businesses through a co-employment model. This segment also provides guidance, user-friendly technology, comprehensive employee benefits, and a risk management, safety, and workers' compensation program. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey.

Composite verdict

A 76.2 / 100
Bullish setup · Reversal 7 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Stochastic Cross
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • MA Rejection
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 3rd of 41 in Software - Application

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 17 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 78Mean-reversion Bullish 67
  • Late-stage trendTrend signals have been live for 84 bars — past the ~60-bar window; momentum edge decays and can reverse late in a move. (medium confidence)
Where value comes fromMargin of safety -85%
Asset value $15.22Earnings power value $122.96Price $262.61

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($122.96/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

55.6 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Return on Invested Capital 99
Margin of Safety 0
Return on Capital Employed 94
Gross Margin 5
Return on Equity 91
Earnings Yield 13

Technicals Bullish

96.9 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Stochastic Cross, Chaikin Money Flow, MA Rejection); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Stochastic Cross 89
Chaikin Money Flow 88
Keltner Channels 83

Risk Gates

3 blocking 6 caution

3 guards active, 25 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Altman Z-Score Caution

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for ADP.