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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

AGO / Oct 1, 2026 Run #19121
Paper trade

AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides specialty insurance and reinsurance on transactions with risk profiles similar to those of its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form, as well as offers credit protection through reinsurance. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed bonds, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, and pooled infrastructure obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, pooled corporate obligations, and financial products. Additionally, the company offers specialty business, such as diversified real estate, insurance reserve financing and securitizations, pooled corporate obligations, and aircraft residual value insurance (RVI) transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Composite verdict

D 37.7 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 17 drivers · 2 gates blocking
  • Keltner Channels
  • 52-Week Proximity
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 2nd of 5 in Insurance - Specialty

Russell 1000 onboarding 2026-10-01
Technical synthesisRegime: downtrend
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 22 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 1Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety +66%
Asset value $128.77Earnings power value $61.35Price $67.79

The discount is mostly unpriced earnings power: price ($67.79) sits between asset value ($128.77) and no-growth earnings power value ($61.35).

Fundamentals Strong

75.5 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Return on Invested Capital 0
Revenue Growth (YoY) 100
Asset Turnover 0
Earnings Yield 100
Days Sales Outstanding 0

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Keltner Channels, 52-Week Proximity, Relative Strength vs SPY); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Keltner Channels 8
52-Week Proximity 13
Sector Relative Strength 16

Risk Gates

2 blocking 3 caution

2 guards active, 19 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Interest Coverage Caution

Weak interest coverage blocks bullish signals — debt-service risk.

Earnings Event Blackout Caution

Mutes all technical signals within the earnings announcement window when earnings dates are available.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for AGO.