Skip to main content

Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

MSFT / Aug 13, 2026 Run #13869

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. It operates through three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft 365 Copilot, and Windows Commercial on-premises and Office licensed on-premises. This segment also provides Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, including talent solutions, marketing solutions, subscriptions, and sales solutions; Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based applications; and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. The Intelligent Cloud segment offers server products and cloud services; cloud and AI consumption-based services, GitHub cloud services, health and life sciences cloud services, as well as virtual desktop offerings, and other cloud services; SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related client access licenses; and enterprise support services, industry solutions, Microsoft partner network, and learning experience. The More Personal Computing segment provides Windows OEM licensing and devices comprising Surface and PC accessories; XBOX hardware, and XBOX first- and third-party content and services; XBOX Game Pass and other subscriptions; XBOX Cloud Gaming, advertising, and other cloud services; and search advertising consisting of Bing, Copilot, Microsoft News, Microsoft Edge, and third-party affiliates. It sells its products through partners and retail networks. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.

Composite verdict

B 74.8 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 17 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • ADX DI Cross
  • Chaikin Money Flow
Consider long call target Δ ~0.60 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade B → ITM call target

Industry rank 2nd of 16 in Software - Infrastructure

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 19 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 98Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -81%
Asset value $46.26Earnings power value $156.68Price $501.05

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($156.68/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

49.7 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Cash Conversion Cycle 100
Margin of Safety 0
Inventory Turnover 100
Capex to Sales 0
Net Margin 92
Earnings Yield 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Rate of Change, ADX DI Cross, Chaikin Money Flow); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 88
Vortex Signal 85
Relative Strength vs SPY 82

Risk Gates

3 blocking 4 caution

3 guards active, 22 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for MSFT.