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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

AJG / Aug 13, 2026 Run #13864

AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to entities and individuals worldwide. The company operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments. Its Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance and reinsurance brokerage services; assists retail brokers and other non-affiliated brokers in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance; and acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter for distributing specialized insurance coverages to underwriting enterprises. This segment performs activities, including marketing, underwriting, issuing policies, collecting premiums, appointing and supervising other agents, paying claims, and negotiating reinsurance; and offers services in the areas of insurance and reinsurance placement, risk of loss management, and management of employer sponsored benefit programs. The Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services; and claims management, loss control consulting, and insurance property appraisal services. The company offers its services through a network of correspondent brokers and consultants. It serves commercial, industrial, public, religious, and nonprofit entities, as well as underwriting enterprises. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.

Composite verdict

C 57.2 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 10 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Coppock Curve
  • Keltner Channels
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
Consider long call target Δ ~0.50 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade C → ITM call target

Industry rank 4th of 6 in Insurance Brokers

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 16 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 96Mean-reversion Neutral 53

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -60%
Asset value $90.98Earnings power value $44.23Price $256.10

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($44.23/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Weak

14.7 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Revenue Growth (YoY) 83
P/E (TTM) 0
Payout Ratio 82
Margin of Safety 0
P/B 72
EV/EBITDA 0

Technicals Bullish

99.7 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Coppock Curve, Keltner Channels, Relative Strength vs SPY); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Coppock Curve 84
Keltner Channels 74
Relative Strength vs SPY 73

Risk Gates

3 blocking 9 caution

3 guards active, 26 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Altman Z-Score Caution

Bottom-band Altman Z blocks bullish signals — distress risk.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for AJG.