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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

STZ / Aug 13, 2026 Run #13859

STZ

Constellation Brands, Inc.

Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson's Green Brier brand names. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

Composite verdict

D 34.0 / 100
Bearish setup · Mean Reversion 7 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • MA Rejection
  • Bollinger Reentry
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 1st of 2 in Beverages - Brewers

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 22 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 38Mean-reversion Bearish 14

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -54%
Asset value $47.33Earnings power value $71.14Price $133.96

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($71.14/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Above average

66.9 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EBITDA Margin 98
Margin of Safety 0
FCF Margin 98
OCF to Net Income 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 98
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0

Technicals Bearish

1.1 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Chaikin Money Flow, MA Rejection, Bollinger Reentry); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Chaikin Money Flow 12
MA Rejection 14
Bollinger Reentry 16

Risk Gates

4 blocking 11 caution

4 guards active, 21 signals gated.

LT Debt-to-Equity Blocking

High long-term D/E blocks bullish signals — structural-leverage risk.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for STZ.