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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

TRV / Aug 13, 2026 Run #13838

TRV

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Business Insurance, Bond & Specialty Insurance, and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers workers' compensation, commercial automobile and property, general liability, commercial multi-peril, employers' liability, public and product liability, professional indemnity, marine, aviation, commercial property and automobile, onshore and offshore energy, construction, terrorism, personal accident, and kidnap and ransom insurance products. This segment operates through select accounts, which serve small businesses; middle accounts that serve mid-sized businesses; national accounts, which serve large companies; and national property and others that serve large and mid-sized customers, commercial trucking industry, and agricultural businesses, as well as markets and distributes its products through brokers, wholesale agents, and program managers. The Bond & Specialty Insurance segment provides surety, fidelity, management and professional liability, and other property and casualty coverages and related risk management services through independent agencies and brokers. The Personal Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance covering personal risks, primarily automobile and homeowners' insurance to individuals. The Travelers Companies, Inc. was founded in 1853 and is based in New York, New York.

Composite verdict

A 75.1 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 13 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Fibonacci Retracement
  • Engulfing
  • Relative Strength vs SPY
Consider long call target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade A → ITM call target

Industry rank 4th of 8 in Insurance - Property & Casualty

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile uptrend
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 17 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 97Mean-reversion Neutral 51

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -50%
Asset value $157.71Earnings power value $132.38Price $370.16

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($132.38/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

50.1 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
EPS Growth (YoY) 100
Margin of Safety 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
OCF to Net Income 0
EBITDA Margin 66
Cash Conversion 0

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Fibonacci Retracement, Engulfing, Relative Strength vs SPY); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Fibonacci Retracement 86
Relative Strength vs SPY 80
Sector Relative Strength 80

Risk Gates

3 blocking 1 caution

3 guards active, 24 signals gated.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

ADX Trend Weakness Weak-trend caution

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for TRV.