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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

ERIE / Aug 13, 2026 Run #13815

ERIE

Erie Indemnity Company

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. It provides issuance and renewal services; sales related services, including agent compensation and sales and advertising support services; underwriting services that include underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. The company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.

Composite verdict

B 72.8 / 100
Bullish setup · Trend Following 15 drivers · 4 gates blocking
  • Chaikin Money Flow
  • Rate of Change
  • Vortex Signal
Consider long call target Δ ~0.60 · ~35 DTE Bullish setup, Grade B → ITM call target

Industry rank 2nd of 6 in Insurance Brokers

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: volatile range
Bull 100%Evidence: High · 18 signals0% Bear
Momentum Bullish 100Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -75%
Asset value $49.44Earnings power value $143.29Price $258.17

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($143.29/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Mixed

45.5 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Asset Turnover 99
Margin of Safety 0
Cash Conversion 97
Gross Margin 0
Return on Assets 96
Earnings Yield 14

Technicals Bullish

100.0 / 100

Bullish setup leads (Chaikin Money Flow, Rate of Change, Vortex Signal); bears gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 92
Chaikin Money Flow 91
Accumulation/Distribution Line 89

Risk Gates

4 blocking 3 caution

4 guards active, 23 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Realized Volatility Regime Blocking

High-vol regime mutes mean-reversion signals; low-vol regime mutes breakout signals.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Breakdown

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Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for ERIE.