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Fiscal Wizard · Single-issue tearsheet

DECK / Aug 13, 2026 Run #13794

DECK

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities in the United States and internationally. The company offers footwear, apparel, and accessories under the UGG brand; footwear, such as running, trail, hiking, fitness, and lifestyle shoes, as well as apparel and accessories under the HOKA brand; and sandals, shoes, and boots under the Teva brand name. It also provides a casual footwear fashion line under the Koolaburra brand name; and footwear products under the AHNU brand name. The company sells its products through domestic and international retailers, international distributors, and directly to its consumers through its direct-to-consumer business, which includes e-commerce websites and retail stores. Deckers Outdoor Corporation was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.

Composite verdict

C 46.9 / 100
Bearish setup · Trend Following 14 drivers · 3 gates blocking
  • Rate of Change
  • Elder Force Index
  • Vortex Signal
Consider long put target Δ ~0.70 · ~35 DTE Bearish setup, Grade A → ITM put target

Industry rank 1st of 2 in Footwear & Accessories

rescore-sweep
Technical synthesisRegime: range
Bull 0%Evidence: High · 22 signals100% Bear
Momentum Bearish 0Mean-reversion Neutral 50

No notable composite patterns — the signals don't cluster into a named setup right now.

Where value comes fromMargin of safety -68%
Asset value $18.36Earnings power value $90.81Price $91.20

Priced above its no-growth earnings power value ($90.81/share) — you're paying for growth and franchise expansion, not just current earnings.

Fundamentals Strong

93.8 / 100

Score-bearing fundamentals shown here exclude gate-only risk checks. · 35 metrics shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Asset Turnover 100
Margin of Safety 0
FCF Margin 100
Inventory Turnover 0
Free Cash Flow Yield 100
Cash Conversion Cycle 25

Technicals Bearish

0.0 / 100

Bearish setup leads (Rate of Change, Elder Force Index, Vortex Signal); bulls gated by guards. · 44 signals shown.

Strongest
Weakest
Rate of Change 8
Elder Force Index 17
Vortex Signal 17

Risk Gates

3 blocking 4 caution

3 guards active, 18 signals gated.

ADX Trend Weakness Blocking

Weak trend strength blocks trend-following signals in either direction.

MA Crossover Blocking

Blocks counter-regime signals only when the MA crossover agrees with the long-term regime.

Regime Filter Blocking

Blocks signals that oppose the long-term moving-average regime.

Cash Ratio Caution

Visual cash-cushion flag — does not mute signals.

Breakdown

Look under the hood

Empty pane

Pick a category, above, to crack it open.

Every chip in either subscore card drills into the metrics or signals that fed it — including the formula, the threshold band, and what the current reading means for DECK.